Week 15 NFL 2018: Hard Work Still Pays

DK cash week 15 12.16.18

The regular season is in the home stretch and we have a lot of good data on the horses that have gotten their teams to this point. Some teams are out, and some are chock full of injuries. These wrinkles is what makes the research that we do each week important. Who matches up well and what value plays help us get to the highest available floor/ceiling combo. At RB I knew that I would jam Mixon in with a dream matchup and his team struggling through injuries he was an easy lock. The biggest decision I weigh was Elliot or Barkley as I didn’t like any constructions with both of them in. I went with Zeke because he was cheaper and his role had really gotten much better since Amari Cooper arrived in the big D. As I have written about in earlier weeks I am prioritizing RB for my flex and after checking various models (and getting confirmation of Conner being out) it became clear that Jaylen Samuels was the play with his clear #1 role and pass catching ability.

I went back and forth between Dak Prescott and Tom Brady at QB but Brady just seemed to be too valuable at his $5900 price in a game that I anticipated would be higher scoring than it ended up, and we’ve seen Dak have bad games. I have gotten to a point where I really don’t want to completely punt at TE but none of the best plays were on this slate and if I paid up there I’d have to sacrifice at WR majorly so with Firkser the only real option on the Titans he seemed like a reasonable play. Luckily his airball didn’t completely sink me.

At WR I was happy to get Tyler Boyd back below $6k in a great matchup, and Westbrook has been seeing #1 target share volume lately for JAX so at his price fit well. My last decision that I was literally weighing in the last 15 minutes before lock was a 2v2 of Adam Thielen/ARI or JuJu/ATL. Ultimately went with JuJu because I felt he had the same projection as Thielen and ATL was a much stronger play on D. That played out and I was smiling at the end of the day.

Scoring was down this week and my cash lineup of 140.06 was good enough to be top 20% and cash in the massive $25 double up on DraftKings. I also lived on the right side of variance in H2H’s as I was able to win 43/50 matches. This proved to be one of my best weeks of the year in cash. We will keep grinding and hope to put the best lineup possible out there again next week. Only 2 weeks left in the 2018 regular season!

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