Touches Need for Value

By JD West       Sept. 27, 2019

The wonderful thing about numbers is that they don’t lie….as long as you have the right ones. We’re three weeks in and the data just gets more interesting and telling. Today we’re looking at the touches needed for a player to reach 3x, 4x, and 5x their DraftKings salary.  The hope is that over time we’ll see consistent success at determining where to spend up and where to spend down.

I’ll post how I got here another time, but for now let’s see what week 4 looks like. For all skill positions (QB, RB, WR, TE) we’re only looking at players whose touches per game (TPG) are less than the touches they would need to hit 3x value (TNF3x). I started with TNF4x, but this eliminates too many players.

3x                                                                               4x

Position # of Players Position # of Players
QB 17 QB 6
WR 15 TE 1
RB 8 WR 1
TE 8

From there the only criteria I used differed depending on position. For each position I picked a minimum score I’d like to from each position in order to have a chance in a cash game. In other words, setting the minimum 3x value I’d accept at each position.

QB 18
RB 15
RB 15
WR 18
WR 18
WR 18
TE 12
DEF 10
Total 142

Here are the top 5 at each skill position matching the above criteria.

TNFV 9.28.19Keep in mind this is based only on the last 3 weeks and doesn’t consider the matchup. It would be hard (possibly impossible) to play all of the top guys, but hopefully you’ll find value in these tables.  I hope to continue doing this weekly. If you have any questions, feel free to reach out. Good luck everyone.

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